‘Irish Times’ poll: Yes side must work hard to retain lead

0

‘Irish Times’ poll: Yes side must work hard to retain lead
Analysis: Margin in Irish referendums always contracts as campaign proceeds

May 17, 2018
Pat Leahy

Eight days from polling day, and the anticipated tightening of the referendum campaign has duly arrived. In the three weeks since the last Irish Times poll, the Yes lead has shrunk – considerably but not enormously – as next Friday’s decision day approaches.

Among all voters, 44 per cent now say they will vote in favour of repealing the Eighth Amendment tomorrow week, down by three points from last month’s figure. The No side now has 32 per cent, up four points. Undecided voters are at 17 per cent (down three points) while 5 per cent say they will not vote and 2 per cent refused to answer.

Continued: https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/abortion-referendum/irish-times-poll-yes-side-must-work-hard-to-retain-lead-1.3497886

Read more

Ireland – No sign of shift in abortion referendum that No campaigners need

0

No sign of shift in abortion referendum that No campaigners need
Analysis: Tonight’s RTÉ debate a chance for anti-abortion groups to influence swing voters

May 15, 2018
Pat Leahy

If there is to be a move in the abortion-referendum campaign, then this is moving week.

A slew of polls early in the campaign painted more or less the same picture: a substantial lead for the Yes side, and a pretty solid foundation for that support. That lead is not unassailable, and a dramatic late swing to the No side, of the sort we have seen in other referendum campaigns, could change the outcome.

continued: https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/abortion-referendum/no-sign-of-shift-in-abortion-referendum-that-no-campaigners-need-1.3495143

Read more

Ireland – The poisonous online campaign to defeat the abortion referendum

0

The poisonous online campaign to defeat the abortion referendum
Una Mullally: Protect the 8th and Undecided8 are ruthlessly targeting undecided voters

May 6, 2018
Una Mullally

An ad kept popping up as I watched YouTube clips the other day, the type of ad you’re forced to sit through before you can play the video you’ve selected. The ad was from Protect the 8th, one of the groups campaigning for a No vote in the abortion referendum, and its slickness was almost out of step with the more sensational messaging the No side has been using. “Don’t be tricked,” it declared.

I ignored it the first time. But then I watched a completely different YouTube video. There the ad was again. It was clear a big, and expensive, online advertising campaign was being rolled out. Around the same time people noticed adverts on Facebook linking to a website called Undecided8, which purported to be an unbiased website for “facts”.

Continued: https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/the-poisonous-online-campaign-to-defeat-the-abortion-referendum-1.3486236

Read more

Tánaiste: Undecided voters will swing abortion referendum

0

Tánaiste: Undecided voters will swing abortion referendum

Saturday, April 28, 2018

Simon Coveney said undecided voters will swing next month's 8th Amendment Referendum.

He said the law the government is proposing is far from abortion on demand - but he is concerned attempts will be made to 'frighten' undecided voters in the weeks ahead.

Continued: https://www.irishexaminer.com/breakingnews/ireland/tanaiste-undecided-voters-will-swing-abortion-referendum-839834.html

Read more

Closer look at poll figures makes clear Eighth will be repealed

0

Closer look at poll figures makes clear Eighth will be repealed
When undecided voters taken out of reckoning ‘Yes’ side has significant advantage

April 20, 2018
Pat Leahy

The abortion referendum will not be decided until this day five weeks, May 25th, when voters go to the polling stations to cast their votes on the future of the Eighth Amendment.

A lot of campaigning has yet to come. But unless something very substantial changes in the campaign over the coming weeks, the proposal to repeal the amendment, and liberalise Ireland’s abortion laws, will be passed.

Continued: https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/abortion-referendum/closer-look-at-poll-figures-makes-clear-eighth-will-be-repealed-1.3467464

Read more

Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI poll: Nothing can be taken for granted

0

Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI poll: Nothing can be taken for granted
A successful campaign for the repeal movement will take not just commitment to stay the course for the next five weeks, but discipline and realism

April 20, 2018

The findings of today’s latest Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI opinion poll will come as welcome reassurance to those who wish to see a change in Ireland’s restrictive abortion laws. However, they should take nothing for granted. There are five weeks from today until polling day in the referendum. It will be an intense and hard-fought campaign.

Today’s findings, however, suggest that the repeal campaign is in the driving seat. Just under half - 47 per cent - of all voters now say they will vote in favour of removing the constitutional ban on abortion, while 28 per cent say they will vote against the measure.

Continued: https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/abortion-referendum/irish-times-ipsos-mrbi-poll-nothing-can-be-taken-for-granted-1.3467487

Read more